TheRealPicks: Championship Week

3-2 last week.  Not great, but it gets the job done.  The most unfortunate part about last week was everything that took place in and around Sanford Stadium last week, but thats beside the point.  I’m here to deliver you picks, and to stay above 53%.  We are looking at another tough slate this week as there are less games to pick from and more tough matchups.  The breakdowns and analysis will be short this week, so your just going to have to trust me on some blind faith this week.  The good news for you, is that my blind faith led me to two of the most unlikely upset picks in the NFL last week, with picks on the Falcons and Jags, which neither team had much business covering, much less actually winning both games. If only I had the balls to give you NFL picks as favorites last week… Oh well, maybe that will change this week… ON TO THE PICKS!

FAVORITES:

ACC Championship: Florida State v. Georgia Tech (+4) – Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC – 5:30PM – PICK: GA TECH +4
I’ll be honest, I don’t know how to feel about this one, and it doesn’t seem to be a popular pick with the sharps in Vegas really either.  Nonetheless, I’m sticking with what has worked.  Again, I’m not going to go into detail.  If you don’t know my personal motivation here, you can feel free to look back at previous weeks to see those in more detail…or don’t, I really DGAF.  Plus, Karlos Williams was announced as inactive tomorrow.  First half and for the game, I’ll be a Yellow Jacket fan tomorrow. If you don’t feel like riding with me again on this one, take the over.

SEC Championship: Alabama v. Missouri (+14.5) – Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA – 4:00PM – PICK: Mizzou +14.5
This also is another one that doesn’t really seem to be popular in Vegas either.  Even still, no fucks will be given.  Mizzou has looked, surprisingly and much to GA fans dismay, much better over the past three weeks and has won the last six in a row since being shut out by the bulldogs.  Do I think they will win this game?  No.  Do I think they can keep it within the number?  100%.  I could end up being wrong, as always, but this is the SEC, a title game, and two good teams.  Not too mention, while it may be somewhat of an outlier on the season, Bama did give up records totals for yardage and points on defense last week, so there could be lingering trouble for Saban and Maty Mauk has a pretty good supporting cast around him to help exploit Bama’s flaws, at least enough to stay competitive.  The Tide should bring the title back to Tuscaloosa, but I’ll take the points and the dog here.

Iowa State @ TCU (-34.5) – Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX – 12:00PM – PICK: TCU -34.5
Wait, for real? 34 points? Yea, I know.  I have business taking points, much less that many.  It’s against my nature, for the most part.  Nonetheless, I look at this with one simple fact in mind.  TCU has one thing on its mind, avoiding the catastrophe that is getting caught in a storm of controversy with the Playoff Committee and its one loss conference rival Baylor.  Both teams will be focused on putting up major points this week, and winning by the largest margins possible.  TCU, however, has the advantage of being three spots ahead of Baylor this week, and not having to rely on the hopes of carnage inside the top four to make it into a playoff spot.  Not to mention, Iowa State, while only losing one game so far by more than 21 points, has allowed almost 6 yards per carry, almost 300 passing ypg and over 500 total ypg in Big12 play, I don’t see them slowing down TCU.  I’ll lay the big number this week with TCU at home.

Mountain West Championship – Fresno State v. Boise State (-22.5) – Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID – 10:00PM – PICK: Boise State -22.5
Yup, thats exactly right.  That is another big number you see there.  No, I’m not losing my mind either at least not that I’m aware of. Boise has been rolling the last 6-7 weeks, and playing their best football of the year.  They also just got through putting up 50 on the best defense in the Mountain West against Utah State.  These two played each other earlier this season, and Boise won by 10 at home, and if not for a few major turnovers from Boise earlier in the game, the outcome should’ve been much worse in that game too.  Full disclosure, I got this number at 19 much earlier this week, but it has only gone up from there, as it currently sits at 22.5. While you would like to take it as low as possible, I think as long as your under 24 you’ll be okay.  Give me Boise and another big number.

Honorable Mentions:

NCAA:
Tulane +3
Kansas State +7
Oklahoma -21
Ohio State +4.5

NFL:
Jags +6
Browns +3.5
Jets +5.5

 

Good Luck!

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